Synopsis

Geoinformatic surveillance for spatial and temporal hotspot detection and prioritization is a critical need for the 21Century. A declared need is around for statistical geoinformatics and software infrastructure for spatial and spatiotemporal hotspot detection, prioritization, early warning, and sustainable management. Hotspot means an unusual phenomenon, anomaly, aberration, outbreak, elevated cluster, critical area. The declared need may be for monitoring, etiology, early warning, or management. The responsible factors may be natural, accidental, or intentional. The five-year NSF digital government project has been instrumental to conceptualize surveillance geoinformatics partnership among interested cross disciplinary scientists in academia, agencies, and private sector across the nations.

METHODOLOGY

Our methodology involves an innovation of the popular circle-based spatial scan statistic methodology. In particular, it employs the notion of an upper level set and is accordingly called the upper level set scan statistic system, pointing to the next generation of a sophisticated analytical and computational system, effective for the detection of arbitrarily shaped hotspots along spatiotemporal dimensions. We also propose a novel prioritization scheme based on multiple indicator and stakeholder criteria without having to integrate indicators into an index, using Hasse diagrams and partially ordered sets. It is accordingly called poset prioritization and ranking system. We propose a cross-disciplinary collaboration to design and build the prototype system for surveillance infrastructure of hotspot detection and prioritization. The methodological toolbox and the software toolkit developed will support and leverage core missions of several agencies as well as their interactive counterparts in the society. The research advances in the allied sciences and technologies necessary to make such a system work are the thrust of this five-year project for digital governance. The project will have a dual disciplinary and cross-disciplinary thrust. Dialogues and discussions will be particularly welcomed, leading potentially to well considered synergistic case studies. The collaborative case studies are expected to be conceptual, structural, methodological, computational, applicational, developmental, refinemental, validational, and/or visualizational in their individual thrust.

ABOUT THE SHORTCOURSE WORKSHOP

This short course workshop is driven by the pertinent course lectures and a wide variety of case studies of interest to agencies, academia, and private sector involving critical societal issues, such as public health, ecosystem health, ecohealth, biodiversity and threats to biodiversity, emerging infectious disease, water management and conservation, carbon sources and sinks, persistent poverty, environmental justice, crop pathogens, invasive species management, biosurveillance, biosecurity, disease biogeoinformatics, social networks, sensor networks, hospital networks and syndromic surveillance, video mining, early warning, tsunami inundation, remote sensing and disaster management. Also space-time disease, poverty, pollution, object identification and tracking, early detection, early warning, hotspot trajectories and trends with examples of West Nile Virus, urban poverty patches dynamics, etc. The project emphasis is on the development of geoinformatic hotspot surveillance system. The system has two methodological components: hotspot detection and prioritization. The proposed short course workshop will provide up-to-date instruction with live examples and illustrations. It will emphasize presentations of case studies from within the region as available, using the methodology and software of the short course. The participants will be encouraged to be in contact with the course instructor before and after the short course workshop to help formulate and finalize their case studies for presentation and publication.

For general information on Short Courses and Workshops, please see

http://www.stat.psu.edu/hotspots/pdfs/OverallInfo_ShortCourseandWorkshops.pdf http://www.stat.psu.edu/~gpp/Workshops.htm

Surveillance Geoinformatics of Hotspot Detection and Prioritization for Monitoring, Etiology, Early Warning and Sustainable Management Short Course and Case Studies Workshop Around the World

  1. Parma, Italy (March 30-31, 2006; October 1, 2006)
  2. San Diego, USA (May 21-24, 2006)
  3. Jalgaon, India (December 11-22, 2006)
  4. New Delhi, India (December 26, 2006)
  5. Bogor, Indonesia (December 27-30, 2006)
  6. McCau, China (January 10-11, 2007)
  7. Hiroshima, Japan (January 15, 2007)

Course Instructor and Workshop Leader

G. P. Patil

Distinguished Professor and Director,

Penn State Center for Statistical Ecology and Environmental Statistics

Principal Investigator,

NSF Digital Government Research Project for Hotspot GeoInformatics

Former Visiting Professor, Harvard School of Public Health

Editor-in-Chief, Environmental and Ecological Statistics

Fellow ASA, IMS, AAAS, RSS, ISI, IISA, NIE, DSEA

Administrative Information and Registration

Registration fees will be reduced/waived for graduate research students, interested government scientists and acceptable case studies presenters.

Contacts

  1. Orazio Rossi
    Universita di Parma
    Dipartimento di Scienze Ambientali
    Viale Delle Scienze
    43100 Parma, Italy
    Telephone: 39-0521-905698
    Fax: 39-0521-905402
    Email: orazio.rossi@unipr.it
  2. G.P. Patil
    The Pennsylvania State University
    Department of Statistics
    421 Thomas Building
    University Park, PA 16802 USA
    Telephone: 01-814-865-9442
    Fax: 01-814-865-1278
    Email: gpp@stat.psu.edu
  3. Principal A.G. Rao
    Moolji Jaitha College
    Jalgaon, India 425002
    Telephone: 91-257-24281
    Fax: 91-257-27363
    Email: agrjal_jal@sancharnet.in
  4. H.V.L. Bathla
    Head, Division of Sample Survey
    Indian Agricultural Statistics Research Institute
    Library Avenue, Pusa, New Delhi 11012, India
    Email: bathla@iasri.res.in
  5. Asep Saefuddin
    Bogor Agricultural University
    Kampus IPB Darmaga
    Gedung Rektorat IPB, Lantai 2
    Bogor, Indonesia 16680
    Telephone: 62-251-622643
    Fax: 62-251-624057
    Email: wakilrektor4@ipb.ac.id
  6. Tomasz Janowski
    Research Fellow, UNU-IIST,
    Coordinator, UNeGov.net
    P.O. Box 3058, Casa Silva Mendes
    Macao, China
    Telephone: +853 5040443 (direct)
    +853 712930 (central)
    Fax: +853 712940
    Email: tj@iist.unu.edu
    www.iist.unu.edu/~tj
  7. Phil Ross
    Department of Statistics
    Radiation Effects Research Foundation
    5-2 Hijiyama Park, Minami-ku
    Hiroshima City, 732-0815 JAPAN
    Telephone: 81-82-261-3131
    Fax: 81-82-263-7279
    email: ross@statlogic.net